$QQQPrice swept liquidity and candle closed above key level. Waiting to see how price reacts to news. Overall looking to enter longLongby KiNg360
SLV 🩶ready for journey - double from here?AMEX:SLV Silver , gold is commodity play and never want to hold for long term however, opportunity to trade always an opportunity for PWI LAB portfolio looking to add based on my weekly setup What do you think? Longby Peaceful-Weekend-Investing0
$SPY interesting cycle analysisNot a recommendation, just thought the cyclical nature of these time periods align. We'll see :) Shortby C0o0kieUpdated 331
$AGQ to $104Operating off of a confluence of multiple signals showing a major breakout for AMEX:AGQ , there is a simple chart wedge that at the 1.618 Fib level places us firmly @ $104 / share. - TVC:SILVER near term to hit ~$47/Oz: - TVC:SILVER long term to hit ~$205/Oz: The last time TVC:SILVER was at ~$48/Oz, AMEX:AGQ was around $740. Given the level of general macro instability, weather patterns potentially damaging critical infrastructure, increasing demands for physical TVC:SILVER for semiconductors / green engineering (solar), plus the backdrop of the weakening dollar (BRICS et. al. dumping US Treasuries), AMEX:AGQ just might follow these to factors Valhalla, if my analysis is correct. Would love to hear your thoughtsLongby httpzUpdated 0
Hydrogen analysisRight now there is an up and coming trend in the renewable energy source with Hydrogen. -Japan and Australia are obsessed with this tech -Hydrogen is inferior to Uranium - Still right now is dirt cheap may have a fat leg or 2 to go. Longby Swaglord690
UNG Natural Gas ETF now rising from its reversal LONG (XNGUSD )UNG on a 120-minute chart has reversed from a long trend down which started in mid -January. This was a steep trend down from the start into mid- March where the trend angle lessened in a period of relative consolidation until May 1st where the reversal occurred. This is a falling wedge breakout with the trendlines of the wedge in thick red and thick green for resistance and support respectively. The VWAP band lines have been downsloping. Price is breaking through the lower band lines and heading toward the mean anchored VWAP line. Price is now above a EMA 100 Keltner Channel which is now trending up. I will take long trades here of both shares and call options. The targets are marked with black horizontal lines from pivots in Jnauary. The are in the levels of 21 and 26 for now. I would not be surprised if UNG moves up and targets the highs of last October at 30 in the upcoming months. Many utility companies this summer will be burning gas to generate electricity needed for air conditioning and demand should be rising. Longby AwesomeAvaniUpdated 1
$2.63 Mil on Silver?!Silver 5/22/2024 Exp Silver has been on a surge so far this month, rising 20.54% from the beginning of May. This previous friday an option order totalling $2.63 Mil came in for AMEX:SLV targeting the $28 strike expiring on 5/22. The problem with this order is it is way too enormous for the ticker causing the market makers (dealers) major issues if price continues any higher. The plan for this trade is to hedge (go against) the original trade, taking the ITM $29 Puts for 5/22. The price expectations for AMEX:SLV coming into the 5/22 expiration are $30.13 to the upside and $27.47 to the downside. Liquidity zones will lay at both the expected moves. The $29/28 strike has a huge Call wall forcing the dealers to sell at that price. Shortby OakFDomUpdated 0
Opening (IRA): BITO July 19th 30 Covered Call... for a 26.12 debit. Comments: Re-upping after closing out my longer-dated covered call (which I had rolled all the way out to December). Selling the -30 delta call against long stock here. As before, will look to roll out the short call for duration at 50% max, collect the monthly dividend along the way ... . I'll also look at selling short put, assuming I can get in on weakness and with a resulting break even better than what I currently have on.Longby NaughtyPinesUpdated 0
About to hit that upper channelI am glad that Natgas is on the rise. But gonna do a small short position, see if I can capture NATGAS chillin' the f*ck out. Good luck $19.50 5/24 puts $0.33 Tiny position Shortby sonidofranko0
$XBI Looking to Breakout (Again)?AMEX:XBI Firstly, I may have an unhealthy attraction to this ETF. I have been in and out of this ETF a number of times over the last few months and overall, just a few $ profit. Having said that this has been basing Since January 2022. The longer the base the bigger the break, or so the Wall Street Axiom goes. It did breakout in February 2024 and quickly failed (I have a link below of my last idea). And there is another idiom: from failed moves come fast moves, and it did move quickly down. Now it is back to the original breakout “area” so this may have been a simple shakeout. Here is what I like about it now: It looks to have gotten support near the 40 Week MA. It looks to be regaining the 10 Week MA (Yellow) and is solidly above the 5 Week MA. This weekly chart looks much better than the daily chart. This is my plan, “if” the market is doing well this coming week and this moves above last week’s close of $91.18 I plan on opening a new position with a maximum stop below last week’s low of 87.68 which is about a 4% position risk. My thesis is that it can easily go back to retest the 103 – 104 area which would be about a 10% gain. My idea, your money. If you decide you like this idea, make sure that it fits with your trading plan on your timeframe. The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking. Longby jaxdogUpdated 0
$SMH: Is 235 Ready?The semiconductor sector is seeing incredible strength today and it looks poised to continue. Tech and Nasdaq may still be preferred even if we see TVC:DXY rise off the lows. Best of luck traders!Longby Fox_Technicals0
$XLC: 82.5 Might Be A GoThe communications sector is seeing incredible strength with NFLX making strong moves on the day. We see this and the broader tech, Nasdaq areas of the market moving higher as well. Good luck tradersLongby Fox_Technicals0
$COPXNot financial advice. AMEX:COPX Setting up for a possible cup and handle will have to wait for confirmation if it gets rejected at yellow line resistance. Like and subscribe for more ideas.by alex6666660
Closed (IRA): SMH July 19th 189/199/275/285 Iron Condor... for a 1.17 debit. Comments: Mixing and matching profitable put wing with profitable call wing from iron condors put on at different times (See Posts Below) to de-risk running into NVDA earnings on 5/22. (NVDA is around 21% of SMH holdings). The resulting setup is a July 19th 205/215/255/265 on which I've collected a net 3.23 in credits; delta/theta -.28/3.45. I'll look at doing a delta adjustment post-earnings if necessary.by NaughtyPinesUpdated 0
SLV Skyrockets: Why This Silver ETF Could Be Your Next Big Win!The chart shows a strong bullish trend with a significant breakout above previous resistance levels. The recent price action has formed a robust ascending pattern, supported by higher lows and higher highs, indicating continued upward momentum. Candlestick Patterns: The recent bullish engulfing pattern suggests strong buying pressure, signaling potential further gains. Ichimoku Cloud: The price is well above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a strong uptrend. The cloud itself is widening, which further supports the bullish sentiment. Current News and Market Sentiment Silver has recently seen increased demand due to its industrial applications and its role as a hedge against economic uncertainties. Current macroeconomic factors, including inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions, have contributed to the bullish momentum in precious metals. Long Position: Entry Point: $28.79 Price Target: $31.00 (near-term), $33.50 (medium-term) Stop Loss: $27.00 (to limit downside risk) Given the strong bullish indicators, entering a long position at the current price can capitalize on the momentum. The target price of $31.00 is based on the next significant resistance level, with a medium-term target of $33.50 reflecting potential continuation of the trend. Short Position: Entry Point: $33.50 (if the price reaches this level, indicating potential overbought conditions) Price Target: $30.00 Stop Loss: $35.00 A short position could be considered if SLV reaches $33.50, as it may indicate overextension and potential for a pullback. This approach requires careful monitoring and timely execution. Conclusion SLV is currently exhibiting strong bullish momentum driven by favorable market conditions and technical indicators. A long position is advisable at the current price with a target of $31.00 and a stop loss at $27.00. Conversely, a short position could be considered at $33.50, targeting a pullback to $30.00. The overall sentiment remains bullish, but traders should remain vigilant for any changes in market dynamics.Longby AxiomEx0
QQQ Scalping Levels 5/20Outlook - 452 is the key level to watch as it was last weeks POC and the previous days high. --If that level breaks and holds with volume then I will wait for a pullback to go long. ---If not then obviously will be targeting my downside levels. Upside Targets: * 452.73/453.26/454.09 Downside Targets: *4451.3450.7/450 Daily Trend Tracker - *QQQ+ *DXY+ *VIX- *US10Y+by JBeTrading0
OIH: One Last Climb 🧗The OIH is currently working on green wave 2, which should extend to our same-colored Target Zone (between $335.63 and $353.32). Within this range, the price should complete a reversal and then gradually trend downwards. This Zone can therefore be used to open any short trades. Stops could be placed 1% above the zone. The end of the orange wave III should only be reached below the support at $250.69.Shortby MarketIntel0
$SPY May 20, 2024AMEX:SPY May 20, 2024 15 Minutes AMEX:SPY managed to hold 527.5 as marked in char with a rectangle box. AMEX:SPY making a series of LH, LL pattern. So considering the rise 527.33 to 529.5 must hold 527.5 528 levels for uptrend. And if we take that fall from 531.52 to 527.33 AMEX:SPY need to cross 530 for any longs as it it represents 61.8% of retracement. AMEX:SPY manage to close at day high of Friday and also close near top of bar. I expect a retracement to 527 527.5 levels before trying to cross 530. On downside if 527.25 is broken, must hold 525.15 levels as it was gap up number. If gap is closed, then we need to wait till 200 averages which is around 524 levels. by RiderTrader0
$BITO LongAMEX:BITO is ready to continue to work towards the VWAP at 29.04. The MACD has crossed and the time frame continuity is strong. If it can breakthrough the VWAP of 29.04, it can make it's way into 31. The stop loss that is in place is at the 25.78 area. Bitcoin has been strong along with gold and silver making new highs. So, this one should continue to track alongside them. Longby GlennTrading0
QQQ vs a formal FED liquidity model .... QQQ vs a formal FED liquidity model .... Adds : Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements: Treasury Securities Sold by the Federal Reserve in the Temporary Open Market Operations, Assets: Other: Coin: Wednesday Level , Liabilities and Capital: Liabilities: Deposits with F.R. Banks, Other Than Reserve Balancesby JoaoPauloPires110
$10 by June 2024It's 2024, 3 years since people received free money from our government, people already started draining their savings accounts. Everything got much more expensive. Rising auto loan, credit card, mortgage delinquencies. We already had crypto pumps begging this year and these pumps were much smaller than 2021. I don't think people have money to pump anything anymore. The recent GME and AMC pumps were also small compared to 2021 pumps. I think time is about to come for the entire crypto industry. Let's be honest, it's a pure game. I'm long BITI. Current position: 5000 BITI shares.Longby iTheOne0
ARK - UP then DOWN then UPARK will break out from the resistance line at $55. It'll reach maybe $90 or $100 before crashing hard (like the rest of the stock market). Rebuy in 2026 IMO.Longby brian76830
Macro Monday 47 – Major Trading Opportunities In IndiaMacro Monday 47 – Major Trading Opportunities In India 10 Reasons why you need to pay special attention to India’s economy Before I start there will be major market opportunities in India that will present over the coming 12 - 36 months in India. As an investor or trader, you cannot ignore this market. 1. India is on track to become the world's 3rd largest economy by 2027, surpassing Japan and Germany (currently India is 5th). This provides a major 3 - 5 year potential investment opportunity in Indian index funds and specific stocks in India. 2. India overtook China as the most populous nation in world in April 2024 (1.435b vs 1.425b). 3. Approximately 65% of India’s population is below the age of 35, and half are below the age of 25. In years to come this will represent a larger innovative workforce with the potential for higher productivity and increased consumer demand from this younger demographic. 4. India has the fastest GDP growth in the world. A minimum of 6% in GDP growth is expected over the next five years, separating it from both the broader emerging market cohort and from slower-growing developed markets. We noted on last weeks Macro Monday that Brazil’s GDP growth was expected to range between 2 – 2.9%, India’s GDP is expected grow at twice this rate. 5. In the shorter term India has a major domestic election concluding in June 2024. Between 1999 – 2019 India's Nifty 50 Stock Index historically tended to exhibit a positive trend six months preceding and following federal elections. A 20.5%+ increase prior to Election conclusion, 3%+ one month after election and 14.4% in the 6 months post-election. Election Season is great for the Indian Stock Market and we are right in the middle of it. 6. India has emerged as a global economic player striking deals with the US, Russian and China, having exceptional relations with all three. India actively participates in international forums and in shaping economic policies. Its presidency of the G20 in 2023 showcased its economic prowess and diplomatic finesse. This all translates into India showcasing that it is in growth mode, but more importantly, that it is economically stable, diverse and reliable. 7. According to Blackrock their emerging market ETF inflows into Indian indexes exceeded $4.4b in 2023 whilst total flows into all other EM countries ETF's combined to only $1.1b, clearly demonstrating a major influx of capital into India ahead of other EM's. 8. Indian equities earnings estimates are predicting a market with potentially prolonged and stable earnings growth. Analysts are expecting general Indian equities to post 13.8% earnings growth in the next 12 months and 14.4% in the next 18 months. Longer-term estimates call for 14.5% year-over-year earnings growth by year-end 2026. There is an incredible opportunity for TA chartist’s and investors to move into individual stock selection with the wind at their backs as the Indian Economy moves into what maybe its golden economic era. 9. Over the past two decades, India’s main stock benchmark, the Nifty 50, has offered 15.0% annualized returns in USD terms, more than double the 6.8% offered by the majority of other global Indexes and this is expected to continue. 10. India has made remarkable progress in reducing extreme poverty. Between 2011 and 2019, the share of the population living in extreme poverty was halved. This trend emulates what China achieved between 1990 and 2011 when they halved the amount of people living in extreme poverty in China. In the decade that followed China became the world’s second-largest economy, surpassing Japan. As mentioned in No.1 above, India is expected to become the 3rd largest economy in the word, overtaking Japan by 2027. Now that we have a good understanding of this major positive macro-economic trend in India, let’s have a look at some general indices where some great opportunities are present. Please note that India is firmly on my Radar now and more specific equities charts will be posted as I discover them. Ishares MSCI India ETF - AMEX:INDA The iShares India ETF is an exchange-traded fund that aims to track the performance of the MSCI India Index. This index includes large and mid-sized companies in India's equity market. Here are the top 5 holdings of the iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA) along with percentage allocations and brief descriptions: 1. Reliance Industries Ltd (8%): Reliance Industries is a conglomerate with interests in various sectors including petrochemicals, refining, oil and gas exploration, telecommunications, and retail. It is one of India's largest companies by market capitalization. 2. ICICI Bank Ltd (5.36%): ICICI Bank is one of the largest private sector banks in India offering a comprehensive range of banking products and financial services to individuals as well as corporate clients. 3. Infosys Ltd (4.41%): Infosys is a global IT consulting and services company that provides software development, maintenance, systems integration, outsourcing, and other technology-related services to clients across industries worldwide. 4. Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd (3.76%): HDFC is a leading provider of housing finance in India. The company offers various loan products and services to individual homebuyers as well as corporate clients engaged in real estate development. 5. Tata Consultancy Services Ltd (3.23%): TCS is another major IT consulting and services company from India that offers a wide range of digital transformation solutions to global businesses across industries such as banking & financial services, manufacturing, healthcare, retail, and more. Please note that these holdings are subject to change over time based on market conditions or fund manager decisions, however this is on the 2024 prospectus. These could be good starting stocks for investors seeking to pick individual stocks in India as they have the backing of analysts in one of the largest funds in the world. The Ishares India ETF Chart SUBJECT CHART ABOVE ▫️ Price has broken to new highs and now bounced off the 21 week SMA. ▫️ A potential parallel channel break out with a target at c. $68.00. ▫️ Good risk reward on a potential trade at 4:1. Entry here at $52.97. ▫️ You could raise the stop to of approx. $50 and make it an RR 7:1. ▫️ The DSS Bressert appears to be crossing and about to move upwards but this is not a guarantee yet. This outcome would be ideal. ▫️ Price could revisit the breakout point at c. $50 - $51 which would be a more ideal entry but given the positivity in the Indian market, election season, the fact we are making new highs and are above the 21 SMA, coupled with a DSS Bressert cross looking likely, this is a very reasonable long term set up.A potential parallel channel break out with a target at c. $68.00. ▫️ Good risk reward on a potential trade at 4:1. Entry here at $52.97. ▫️ You could raise the stop to of approx. $50 and make it an RR 7:1. ▫️ The DSS Bressert appears to be crossing and about to move upwards but this is not a guarantee yet. This outcome would be ideal. Price could revisit the breakout point at c. $50 - $51 which would be a more ideal entry but given the positivity in the Indian market, election season, the fact we are making new highs and are above the 21 SMA, coupled with a DSS Bressert cross looking likely, this is a very reasonable long term set up. India NIFTY Mid Cap Select Index - $NIFTY_MI The India NIFTY Midcap Select Index is a stock market index that represents the performance of 25 mid-sized companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) in India. Stocks are selected from the Nifty Midcap 150 index based on availability for trading in the Futures & Options segment, market cap and average daily turnover. Stock weights are based on free-float market capitalization. Here are the top 5 holdings of the NIFTY Midcap Select Index along with percentage allocations and brief descriptions: 1. Indian Hotels Co. Ltd (7.1%): IHCL and its subsidiaries bring together a group of brands that offer a fusion of warm Indian hospitality and world-class service. These include Taj – the iconic brand for discerning travelers, SeleQtions, Vivanta, Ginger, and amã Stays & Trails. 2. Persistent Systems Ltd (5.69%): Persistent Systems is a global company specializing in digital engineering and enterprise modernization services. They offer solutions in banking, financial services, healthcare, life sciences, and technology sectors. 3. Cummins India Ltd (5.65%): Cummins designs, manufactures, sells, and services diesel and alternative fuel engines, generators, and related components. They are known for their innovation in power solutions and corporate responsibility. 4. Lupin Ltd (5.40%): Lupin is an Indian multinational pharmaceutical company and one of the largest generic pharmaceutical companies by revenue globally. Their key focus areas include pediatrics, cardiovascular, anti-infectives, diabetology, asthma, and anti-tuberculosis. 5. Housing Development Finance Corporation Asset Management Company Ltd (5.21%): HDFC AMC operates as an investment management firm, offering portfolio management and advisory services to individuals, institutions, trusts, private funds, charitable organizations, and investment companies in India. Please note that these holdings are subject to change over time based on market conditions or fund manager decisions, however this is on the 2024 prospectus. The Chart ▫️ The India NIFTY Mid Cap Select Index chart is more promising than the Ishares MSCI India ETF. ▫️ There is a defined upward channel under which the 21 week SMA is providing support. ▫️We have broken recent highs, local resistance and a have a DSS Bressert Cross turning up. All three are bullish signals. ▫️A great risk reward set up is available here at 11:1. You can alter this to suit your risk tolerance or how long you want to remain in the trade. I would be inclined to lower the stop because the RR is weighted heavily to the upside. ▫️It is possible that we get a retest of the breakout area also, but given the DSS Bressert Cross and upwards momentum, I lean more directly bullish. Indian Rupee (INR) Currency Risk There is a currency risk with the second trade in the NIFTY Mid Cap Select Index as it is denominated in the Indian Rupee (INR) which has been on a long term decline against the USD since Aug 2011. If we were to move to the bottom of the current long term pennant we could lose c.5% in currency devaluation in this trade. This could happen over a couple of months, so its something to keep an eye on. Here is the INR/USD Chart for reference: Summary: There is a unique opportunity to make significant returns from one of the largest and fastest growing countries in the world. I listed 10 reasons why India's economy has major promise: 1. Projected to 3rd largest Economy by 2027 2. Largest Population in the world (since Apr 2024) 3. 50% of population are <25 years of age, 65%<35 4. Fastest GDP growth in the world at 6% 5. Election Season = 14 - 17% return historically (within 8 months of current juncture in May 2024) 6. India's presidency of the G20 in 2023 showcased its economic prowess and diplomatic finesse. 7. Three times more capital flowing into India ETF's vs other emerging market ETF's 8. Analysts predict 14.5% YoY growth in Indian Equities. 9. Over the past two decades India's Nifty 50 has offered 15.0% annualized returns in USD terms 10. In India the share of the population living in extreme poverty was halved between 2011-2019 We then looked at two India Indexes that are looking very positive and have a great risk:reward trade set ups in the $NIFTY_MI and the $INDA. We also covered off some of the indexes individual holdings as these might be worth looking at. Finally we created awareness of the currency risk that exists on the $NIFTY_MI chart. If we want to take advantage of this blooming economy in more specific and targeted ways, we will likely need to trade in the Indian Rupee XETR:INR at some stage. So we need to be familiar with the chart and the currency. We projected that it could decline by 5% against the dollar over a 6 - 12 month period so this should be factored in. This is not a prediction. It could show strenght against the dollar and break out of its downward pennant. Time will tell. All these charts are available on my Tradingview Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how the South America market has performed. I hope its helpful. PUKA Longby PukaCharts0