On the daily chart, TAP was on a good trend up heading into earnings which were favorable. It is consolidated since just after earnings in a " high tight bull flag pattern" Volume has been healthy with many buyers and seller trading shares in a tight range channel. The stochastic RSI is now at about 20% indicating TAP is in the oversold / undervalued area. The...
TAP appears to to have fallen into support on a good earnigns beat Perhaps traders were expecting a better beat. It is now 15% below the resistance zone where shorts will take positions and longs will sell- off. TAP has sales and consumer loyalty in its brands. It is free of the controversies that had bogged BUD down. I see this as an opportunity to get...
MO moves on the 2H like a large caps and seems to have upside in its current trend up. I am targeting recent pivot highs and an overall trade of 10% . I will look at call options as well. MO has two minor earnings beats in a row after a miss. Albiet minor fundamental momentum, I will take it as a sign that MO will do well. Its business model is keeping...
CAKE on the 30 minute chart shows suggests as a short candidate including death crosses as well as a loss of strength on the RSI indicator. I will short CAKE and investigate put options for sufficient volume and level of implied volatility.
SBUX on the dialy chart may be another candidate to short while the general market remains challenging in the face of the loss of anticipated rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical risk. SBUX has been trending down for nearly six months and the earnings miss add emphaisis to the trend. At this juncture, there is nothing to suggest a turnaround. I am adding SBUX...
BMY is here on the daily chart. The double top and death cross of the EMA moving averages makes for a strong candidate to short with shares or take put options. A comparsion of the most recent earnings report with the previous one sixty days earlier tells most of the story. The dual time frame RSI indicator shows ongoing wekaness. I will short BMY here and...
SPY on a 120 minute chart uptrended from October into late March. A standard Fibonacci retracement for this trend down could take it down to the 475 range or about another 10%. Current price is under the daily SMA 50 ( blue line) at 495 and could continue to fall into the SMA 100 ( green line) which is confluent with the Fibonacci retracement level. ...
OGI got an upgrade from hold to buy and with it a target of 5.25 or more than double current valuation. The ballot iniative in Florida and legalization in Gremany are recent news. VP Harris seeks to make legalization an lection issue this fall while pushing for a DEA reboot on the whole cleassification of MJ. Prospects for growth seem more clear for OGI . I...
TLRY on the 2H sharge shows a draamatic trading response to the DOJ recommending the reclassification of marijuana. No much to the analysis = these will have momentum until it fades. I suspect good continuation plays here until mid -day on Friday when profit taking and sell-offs will dominate. Short sellers will take positions at the tops as well. In the...
SQQQ trended down the last two days of last week and especially Friday as the technology stocks surged Yesterday had price consolidation and generally less trading volumes. I believe that SQQQ will bounce at this level. It is supported by a cross above the POC line of the volume profile. Under that line is the stop loss while the target is 17.95 at...
AAPL is here on a 120-minute chart in what appears to be a falling wedge pattern. As volatility gets compressed further it could break down or break out with a bais for the latter. I believe that the rise of generic phones in China and Inda with comparable cameras and other functionality has impacted AAPL as had the rising prices of its flagship products. ...
HG is on the 30 minute chart with a set of EMAs ( 7- blue 20-red and 100-black) ascended 6 % in 7 days from the morning of 4/23 to the evening of 4/29. This is traded with a leverage of 25. A short trade taken on the reversal is now impending closure. The short falls faster than the long climbs and will yield about another 6% in 24 hours or so. The trade is...
Copper prices rise when the economy is thought to be growing and needing more electrical infrastructure while they fall when bearish indicators might project a recession. I am at the aluminum and finished steel subsectors as well. FCX is under consideration but as a large cap it does not have the volatility of the junior miners. In the meanwhile COPJ, CPER...
PYPL has had a great past two weeks putting in 7-9% gain. In the past week however, that momentum has stalled. PYPL has printed a head and shoulders pattern. The predictive algo of Lux algo suggests a reversal here. PYPL has been resisted on the higher price action by the second upper anchored VWAP band. The H & S pattern neckline is about 63. The...
SAVE missed out on a merger into Jet Blue. No other suitors have come along. It has sunk in a falling wedge with episodic trends up in the wedge. At present price is at the longer support trendline of that wedge. Relative strength reflects an oversold and undervalued condition. The Fisher transform shows a curling up suggestive of the reversal. I will take...
NFLX on a 120 minute chart currently has price sitting on the POC line confluent with the Fibonacci 0.5 level on the previous trend up that was before the trend down from around the time of an earnings beat which was a disappointment because traders somehow expected better. There is been some disappointment about NFLX keeping some of its subscriber...
DOCN ona 120 minute chart has downtrended into the support of a 0.5 Fib retracement from the rise after the November earnings. and the triple top then trend down from the last earnings. I believe that is is well situated to rebound toward that triple top again in the next three weeks until earnings. I realize that based on the inicators a long trade...
SPY on the 2H chart shows the past six months of trend. SPY has been in an ascending channel but fall out of the channel. Iran's ambition to retliate against Israel and the movement of US NAVY warships into the the Middle East raises concerrn as does "sticky inflation" and early earnings reports from big banks. On the chart, trend angle analysis suggests the...