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PLEASE REVIEW Macro Monday 44 for the full post. This chart is presented here so that we can update it at a later date only. It is also included in the prior post China Manufacturing Caixin PMI – Surveys by 650 SME’s ▫️ The is an S&P Global report released monthly. ▫️ The Caixin PMI focuses on small & medium sized enterprises (SME’s) in China. ▫️ Surveys a...

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Macro Monday 44 The China NBS PMI and Manufacturing Caixin PMI (both released Tuesday 30th April 2024) China NBS General PMI – Surveys by 3,200 large corporations ▫️ Provided by the National Bureau of Labor Statistics ▫️ Based on a large sample size surveying 3,200 companies across China. ▫️ The NBS PMI has a stronger focus on larger state-owned...

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What I'm watching on Bitcoin 1. A move above the 21 DSMA 2. OBV break up or down On Balance Volume (OBV) has shown itself to be an very useful metric to monitor in the recent daily timeframes for BTC. Something to keep a close eye on.

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Macro Monday 43 Japan Composite PMI – Japan’s Business Activity (Flash PMI is released Tuesday 23rd April 2024) Unfortunately, I had great difficulty in locating the Japan Composite Flash PMI in chart form on TradingView (it appears to not be available). Instead we will briefly cover the Japan Composite PMI chart which is the final PMI released later...

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EUROZONE CPI Eurozone Headline and Core CPI for October both came in as expected (decrease) Eurozone Headline CPI: MoM – Actual 0.1% / Exp. 0.1% / Prev. 0.3% YoY – Actual 2.9% / Exp. 2.9% / Prev. 4.3% (purple on chart) Eurozone Core CPI: MoM – Actual 0.2% / Exp. 0.2% / Prev. 0.2% YoY – Actual 4.2% / Exp. 4.2% / Prev. 4.5% (blue on chart) ...

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Macro Monday 42 Japan Reuters Tankan Index – Business Sentiment (Released this Wednesday 17th April 2024) Firstly lets briefly cover the Japan Consumer Sentiment we covered last week, Japan Consumer Sentiment Last week we covered the Japan Consumer Confidence Index (CCI), which provided a great indication of how the Japanese consumer is feeling. The...

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Macro Monday 38 - Please review the full report shared prior to this. This is only the German chart in Isolation. GERMAN ZEW INDEX The German ZEW Index data is not derived from all the countries in Europe, it is derived from the views of collection of 350 economists and analysts that operate from and represent the German economy. As Germany is the largest...

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Macro Monday 38 The Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index & The German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Released this Tuesday 19th Mar 2024) ZEW is the German acronym for the Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung, which translates to the Centre for European Economic Research. There are two releases from the Centre for European Economic research we...

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MACRO MONDAY 21 NAHB Housing Market Index The NAHB Housing Market Index (HMI) is compiled from a monthly survey issued by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) to U.S. builders in order to measure the current and forward looking sentiment for single-family homes being built or with the prospect of being built in the U.S. In the survey builders rate...

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MACRO MONDAY 33 ~ NFIB National Federation of Independent Business Index (NFIB) Released Tuesday 13th Feb 2024 Think of the NFIB small business index as a sentiment index, a sort of mood meter for small businesses. The higher the index, the more optimistic small businesses will be about spending more, expanding and increasing or maintaining employees. The...

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Macro Monday 41 Japan Consumer Confidence Index (Released Tuesday 9th April 2024) Japan is the third largest economy in the world after the United States and China, contributing about 8% of global GDP, despite having only 1.8% of the world’s population. For such an impactful populace, lets see how the Japanese consumer confidence levels are looking at...

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Macro Monday 40 Euro Area Composite PMI (Released this Thurs 4thApril 2024) The Euro Area Composite PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) is a significant coincident economic indicator that provides insights into the current overall health of the eurozone economy. The Euro Area Composite PMI data is collected from a representative panel of around 5,000...

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Macro Monday 39 Euro Area Economic Sentiment Indicator (Next Release is this Wednesday 27th March 2024) Last week we covered the the Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (the "ZEW Index") and learned that the sentiment data for the ZEW Index comes from 350 economists spanning the Euro Area (20 of the 27 EU member states that use the Euro currency). The...

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Macro Monday 39 (Part B) This chart is a summary of the past two weeks of work in Macro Mondays on the EU Sentiment The Chart illustrates the forward looking Euro Area ZEW Sentiment Index (red line) and the current sentiment outlook via the Euro Area Economic Sentiment Index (the "ESI", the blue line). In the chart I have used thick orange lines to illustrate...

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Macro Monday 34 S&P PMI Composite Flash This S&P PMI “Flash” Composite is a very useful and relatively new data set made available since Nov 2013 that is particularly useful at providing an advance indication of the ISM Purchasing Managers Index (ISM PMI Index) which is released a week later. We are aware from prior Macro Mondays that the ISM PMI index is...

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U.S Initial Jobless Claims Rep: 187k ✅ Lower Than Expected ✅ Exp: 207k Prev: 203k (revised up from 202k) A positive release today with initial claims coming in much lower than expected. Chart Trend We are very close to taking out the lows from Oct 2022 at 180k claims on the chart. Importantly these charts do not update with revised figures and factoring in...

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U.S. Continuous Jobless Claims Rep: 1,906k 🚨Higher than Expected 🚨 Exp: 1,889K Prev: 1,898k (revised down from 1,905k) Continuous claims came at 1,906k which is 8,000 higher than last weeks revised 1,898k. The Trend Since Sept 2022 continuing claims have increased from 1.302m to 1.906m (604k+). This is significantly concerning trend & suggests that an...

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MACRO MONDAY 24 The New York Empire State Manufacturing Index Trading View Ticker: $USNYESM The New York Empire State Manufacturing Index (NYESM Index) is a month to month economic indicator that measures the general business conditions in the manufacturing sector of New York State. It is published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and is based on a...