The US crude oil benchmark is currently trading around $79.50 on Friday, marking a continued decline from its recent peak of $88.00. This downward trend is attributed to several factors, including rising crude inventories in the United States and diminishing expectations for interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed's decision to maintain...
In assessing the Nasdaq's current market conditions, there emerges a compelling narrative suggesting a potential bearish leg in its trajectory. This notion finds its roots in the recent retest of the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical technical threshold renowned for its significance in price action analysis. Concurrently, this retracement is...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has recently attained a critical juncture, reaching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This significant milestone is augmented by the convergence of several key technical factors, notably including the Point of Control (POC) volume and divergence signals observed across various indicators. The confluence of these technical...
The recent movement in Platinum futures has seen a notable retest of the upper boundary of the range, coinciding with a resistance zone commonly referred to as "Supply." Our analytical approach begins at this critical juncture, where we factor in various elements, including the seasonal behavior observed in this precious metal over the past decade and a half. A...
As April unfolds, investors and traders in the corn futures market find themselves at a critical juncture marked by seasonal trends and heightened volatility. Historically, April has been a period of growth in corn prices, driven by various factors including planting intentions, weather conditions, and demand patterns. However, the current landscape presents a...
XRP, the native digital currency of the Ripple payment protocol network, reached its pinnacle at $3.84 on January 4, 2018, marking an astonishing surge of nearly 40,000% over the preceding 12 months. However, its current trading value hovers around $0.50. Much like several other smaller altcoins, XRP witnessed a wane in interest as escalating interest rates...
Building on our previous analysis (Link Below), the GBP/USD exhibited a bearish candle on the daily timeframe last Friday, following three consecutive days of positive closure. This shift occurred amidst mixed market sentiment, later influenced by positive economic news from the US, particularly the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures data. Despite briefly...
As we approach the FOMC meeting later today, there is anticipation of a potential bullish movement of the EUR against the USD, accompanied by a retest of the 50% Fibonacci level on the short timeframe and an uptick in value. Indicators suggest oversold conditions. Regarding the Federal Reserve, it is expected to maintain a hawkish stance, acknowledging persistent...
The USD/JPY continues to experience upward momentum, driven by the significant interest rate differential between the United States and Japan. The US Federal Reserve has established the Fed Funds Rate within the range of 5.25% to 5.50%, while the Bank of Japan maintains its cash rate between 0.0% and 0.1%. This substantial gap in interest rates favors parking...
Following its ascent to the 171.500 area, the EUR/JPY underwent a notable surge, echoing the analogous movement witnessed in the USD/JPY pair. In light of this development, our approach entails anticipating a potential retracement of the preceding bearish momentum, employing limit orders to capitalize on favorable entry points. Simultaneously, we remain vigilant...
In anticipation of the forthcoming FOMC meeting, the AUDUSD currency pair is demonstrating a notable increase in value, defying the backdrop of data indicating a prevailing contraction in private business activity across Australia during March. Despite these domestic economic challenges, market attention remains focused on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA)...
In alignment with our previous analysis on EUR/USD, we are anticipating a potential bullish continuation of the price, supported by a confluence of indicators including Fibonacci levels, Fibonacci Volume Gap (FVG), technical indicators, and economic data. EUR/USD gained ground on Thursday, buoyed by the prevailing positive sentiment in the market which favors...
Economic events: USA - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Apr) USA - Nonfarm Payrolls (Apr) USA - Unemployment Rate (Apr) USA - S&P Global Services PMI (Apr) USA - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Apr) USA - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Apr) On Thursday, the S&P 500 concluded the trading session with a favorable uptick, notably buoyed by the tech sector's robust...
After the conclusion of yesterday's FOMC meeting, the US30 index initially experienced a bullish surge, only to retrace back to its pre-announcement levels shortly thereafter. Within this movement, a notable observation was the emergence of a Fibonacci Volume Gap (FVG) area, particularly evident around the 50% retracement level of the preceding bullish impulse....
Economic events: USA - Initial Jobless Claims Eurozone - HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Apr) Eurozone - ECB's Lane Speaks U.S. equity markets saw a partial recovery subsequent to the Federal Reserve's choice to maintain interest rates at their current levels on Wednesday. Additionally, the Fed disclosed intentions to commence a gradual tapering of its balance...
Economic events: USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Apr) USA - S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Apr) USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) USA - ISM Manufacturing Prices (Apr) USA - JOLTs Job Openings (Mar) USA - Crude Oil Inventories USA - FOMC Statement USA - Fed Interest Rate Decision USA - FOMC Press Conference On Tuesday, the S&P 500 underwent a decline,...
The AUD/USD exhibited sustained growth throughout the previous week, aligning with our earlier forecast. It reached the 0.6580 level, where we identified a convergence of technical, seasonal, and economic indicators. Technically, both the H4 and H8 timeframes show divergence on the stochastic indicator within the 78.6% to 61.8% Fibonacci range within a bearish...
Following its ascent to approximately $18,451, the NASDAQ Index underwent a notable downturn, descending to the vicinity of $17,000 by April 22nd. In the aftermath, a bullish resurgence ensued, marked by a retracement phase wherein the price remained confined within the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci levels. Notably, this retracement phase coincided with a notable...