This is nothing new TBH. Strong work on the weekends pays off during the week. Today we had another downward trend day that saw sellers become buyers and then back to sellers again trapping bulls. This should add conviction for an overnight leg down. Several pullbacks appeared that would've paid off today as well.
Intro I tried to talk through stop-loss placement in 3 minutes here. I do not think justice was done. So let's take a look at exactly what I mean when I say "Let Your Trade Cook". Proper stop-loss placement is critical to a successful trading plan. Don't Place Your Stop Like Everyone Else You are guilty of this, if you have been stopped out many times just...
Here we take a look at trading pullbacks using the Keltner Channels. I cover the initial setup, the types of entries, and trades to avoid. This setup contains 3 parts: The channel touch The Pullback The Entry The Channel Touch Here is an example of the beginning signal in our setup, a band touch. The top and bottom bands represent the ATR (Average...
This video goes into depth on the types of market structures and how they happen. Ranging -> Breakout (Spike) -> Channel (trend or a ranging trend) -> Climax. The market moves in these repeatable patterns over and over and over again. If you can diagnose where we are in these cycles then you can harness this skill to improve your trading.
In this video, I discuss The Anti a trade first mentioned by Linda Raschke in her 1996 book Street Smarts. Her version used a Stoch indicator but, I prefer a modified MACD indicator. To take this setup, you first need an indication of market reversal. In our case that will be climatic activity. So this trade has 4 parts: Climatic activity or other indication...
This is perplexing, market structure speaking, Dr. Pepper is in a downtrend. Price is sitting at the top of a channel. The monthly candle looks weak and the weekly is all that promising. The question here is whether or not to take the long trade and pullback. Why? Well, two big down days in the market, and Dr. Pepper endured those with two green days.
When the day started there wasn't much to see in terms of price action. I needed to zoom out to get some perspective on the market and the hourly timeframe provided just that. We had some climatic activity to the downside where the market could reverse. Early in the morning, it did exactly that but then the news hit, and the day got crazy.
BTC has a lower high double top forming and if it plays out (a close below 60500 starts it) the bears will have a measured move objective around $48k. We have also seen new bearish momentum stronger than we have seen in almost 2 years.
The market had another nice downtrend day. Entries were clear on most of the pullback and the market gave clear indication it was slowing down. What a great day to trade.
If we break through the double top apex formation we could see a strong move to the measured move object. That is about 10% of the stocks above their 50-day moving average. This could be an epic buying opportunity.
In this video I cover my thoughts on the week ahead. I touch on some of overall sentiment but, this video focuses on the week ahead as I take you through my weekly preview practices. This is shortened down version of how I like to prepare but, it should give you a good idea of what I look at before the week starts. We the following concepts: Chart analysis ...
I think video, I covered an awesome pullback day. Where we could've entered, what the week looked like to me and what I expect next week without doing my weekend analysis.
I completely forgot to record my market recap. My trading journal entries got deleted to the computer restarted. I lost all of my trade entries because I did not save them. Then I proceeded to lose two more trades today. Which is very frustrating. Anyway, in this video I cover the trades that I took and the one possible setup outside of all of the news.
The market hit that measured move objective that I mentioned in yesterday's market recap. There was a ton of news today with CPI, 10-year Bond auctions, and FOMC members speaking. The market just consolidated after the MM was met. Unless you were a range trader then there wasn't much to trade.
Today I took 3 losses. It was a really bad trading day. I didn't really follow my plan on the day and took 2 unnecessary losses. The one loss of the 3 I can live with but, I have to do better. There wasn't much give from the market today.
This is my favorite set up that I found this weekend. The chart looks clean on both the weekly and the daily. The trend is slowing while stronger bear bars appear. This could set up into a nice 1R play but, has the juice to move much further IMO.
That's right an Anti Pattern has set up in ORCL. There are some things to note such as the earnings gap potential to gain strength but, overall we saw a nice set up on Friday that could at least give a 1R return.
I am not willing to take this long given that it is in the upper channel of a downward trend. I also provide a couple of other examples of trades that are/ were in a similar setup just at a better point in the over all trend.